Modeling the impact of climatic and non-climatic factors on cereal production: evidence from Indian agricultural sector

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dc.authoridCHANDIO, Abbas Ali/0000-0001-8706-9681
dc.authoridPandey, Alok Kumar/0000-0001-5604-3243
dc.authoridSinha, Avik/0000-0001-7795-1259
dc.authoridAhmad, Fayyaz/0000-0001-9038-0817
dc.contributor.authorChandio, Abbas Ali
dc.contributor.authorJiang, Yuansheg
dc.contributor.authorAmin, Asad
dc.contributor.authorAkram, Waqar
dc.contributor.authorOzturk, Ilhan
dc.contributor.authorSinha, Avik
dc.contributor.authorAhmad, Fayyaz
dc.date.accessioned2025-03-07T20:12:57Z
dc.date.available2025-03-07T20:12:57Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.departmentÇağ Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThe underpinned study examines the effects of climatic and non-climatic factors on Indian agriculture, cereal production, and yield using the country-level time series data of 1965-2015. With the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach, the long-term equilibrium association among the variables has been explored. The results reveal that climatic factors like CO2 emissions and temperature adversely affect agricultural output, while rainfall positively affects it. Likewise, non-climatic factors, including energy used, financial development, and labor force, affect agricultural production positively in the long run. The estimated long-run results further demonstrate that CO2 emissions and rainfall positively affect both cereal production and yield, while temperature adversely affects them. The results exhibit that the cereal cropped area, energy used, financial development, and labor force significantly and positively impact the long-run cereal production and yield. Finally, pairwise Granger causality test confirmed that both climatic and non-climatic factors are significantly influencing agriculture and cereal production in India. Based on these results, policymakers and governmental institutions should formulate coherent adaptation measures and mitigation policies to tackle the adverse climate change effects on agriculture and its production of cereals.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11356-021-16751-9
dc.identifier.endpage14653
dc.identifier.issn0944-1344
dc.identifier.issn1614-7499
dc.identifier.issue10
dc.identifier.pmid34617217
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85116423170
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage14634
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-16751-9
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12507/2833
dc.identifier.volume29
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000705825600006
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.indekslendigikaynakPubMed
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer Heidelberg
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironmental Science and Pollution Research
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_WoS_20241226
dc.subjectAgricultural output
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectCereal production
dc.subjectARDL method
dc.subjectIndia
dc.titleModeling the impact of climatic and non-climatic factors on cereal production: evidence from Indian agricultural sector
dc.typeArticle

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