Assessing the long- and short-run asymmetrical effects of climate change on rice production: empirical evidence from India

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dc.authorid, Zeeshan Anis Khan/0009-0001-2210-9299
dc.authoridCHANDIO, Abbas Ali/0000-0001-8706-9681
dc.authoridKhan, Zeeshan/0000-0003-1374-0836
dc.authoridBAIG, Dr. IMRAN ALI/0000-0002-2087-3621
dc.contributor.authorBaig, Imran Ali
dc.contributor.authorChandio, Abbas Ali
dc.contributor.authorOzturk, Ilhan
dc.contributor.authorKumar, Pushp
dc.contributor.authorKhan, Zeeshan Anis
dc.contributor.authorSalam, Md Abdus
dc.date.accessioned2025-03-07T20:12:56Z
dc.date.available2025-03-07T20:12:56Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.departmentÇağ Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractIn recent years, environmental change has arisen as a ubiquitous problem and gained environmentalist's attention across the globe due to its long-term harmful effects on agricultural production, food supply, water supply, and livelihoods of rural households. The present study aims to explore the asymmetrical dynamic relationship between climate change and rice production with other explanatory variables. Based on the time series data of India, covering the period 1991-2018, the current study applied the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model and Granger causality approach. The results of the NARDL reveal that mean temperature negatively affects rice production in the long run while positively affecting it in the short run. Furthermore, positive shocks in rainfall and carbon emission have negative and significant impacts on rice production in the long and short run. In comparison, negative rainfall shocks significantly affect rice production in the long and short run. Wald test confirms the asymmetrical relationship between climate change and rice production. The Granger causality test shows feedback effect among mean temperature, decreasing rainfall, increasing carbon emission, and rice production. While no causal relationship between increasing temperature and decreasing carbon emission. Based on the empirical investigations, some critical policy implications emerged. Toward sustainable rice production in India, there is a need to improve irrigation infrastructure through increasing public investment and to develop climate-resilient seeds varieties to cope with climate change. Along with, at the district level government should provide proper training to farmers regarding the usage of pesticides, the proper amount of fertilizers, and irrigation systems.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11356-021-18014-z
dc.identifier.endpage34230
dc.identifier.issn0944-1344
dc.identifier.issn1614-7499
dc.identifier.issue23
dc.identifier.pmid35034308
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85123110794
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage34209
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-18014-z
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12507/2822
dc.identifier.volume29
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000742829800003
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.indekslendigikaynakPubMed
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer Heidelberg
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironmental Science and Pollution Research
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_WoS_20241226
dc.subjectAsymmetry
dc.subjectGranger Causality
dc.subjectNARDL
dc.subjectRice production
dc.subjectIndia
dc.titleAssessing the long- and short-run asymmetrical effects of climate change on rice production: empirical evidence from India
dc.typeArticle

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