Coal consumption and industrial production nexus in USA: Cointegration with two unknown structural breaks and causality approaches

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Küçük Resim

Tarih

2012

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closeAccess

Özet

The paper investigates the causality relationships among industrial production index, coal consumption and employment in industrial sector for the period of 1973:1-2011:10 in USA. After noticing that there are breaks in the regression model, the Hatemi-J test for cointegration is employed to the cases that take into account two possible regime shifts. It is concluded that there is a long run relationship between industrial production and industrial coal consumption with the breaks at 1983:4 and 1998:4. We found a negative relationship between coal consumption and industrial production for the period of 1973:1-1983:4 and positive relationship for 1983:5-1998:4 period. For the last period that covers 1983:5-2011:10, the cointegration relationship turned to negative. In addition, the results show that causal relationship between coal consumption and industrial production changes over time.

Açıklama

WOS: 000311184800053

Anahtar Kelimeler

Industrial Production, Energy Consumption, Coal Consumption, Cointegration with Two Breaks

Kaynak

Renewable & Sustaınable Energy Revıews

WoS Q Değeri

Q1

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

16

Sayı

8

Künye